Schedule
Schedule
International workshop on “Stratosphere-Troposphere Interactions and
Prediction of Monsoon weather EXtremes” (STIPMEX)at IITM, Pune during
3-7 June 2024
Day 0
| Training Programme Agenda |
| 2 June 2024 |
| Participants: 100 |
| 0930-0945 AM | Brief remark by Dr. E. N. Rajagopal, IMPO Introduction: Dr. Vinu Valsala |
| 0945 AM | Group Photo |
| Training Session on Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange processes |
| Venue | Aryabhatta Hall, IITM, Pune |
| 09:45 - 10:00 | Brief introduction to Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange processes. |
| 10:00 - 11:00 | Introduction to balloonsonde launching techniques (1) The cryogenic frost point hygrometer (CFH) for measurements of water vapour and (2) the Compact Optical Backscatter Aerosol Detector (COBALD) |
| 11:00 - 11:15 | Tea Break. | |
| 11:15 - 13:00 | Hands-on launching of balloonsonde with suitable sensors followed by data acquisition techniques. |
| 13:00 - 14:00 | Lunch Break. | |
| 14:00 - 15:00 | Satellite and in-situ data analysis, with a special focus on the UTLS region. |
| 15:00 - 16:00 | Analysis and visualization of big-data from global chemistry-climate models. |
| 16:00 - 16:30 | Tea break. | |
| 16:30 - 17:30 | Inter-comparison of observational and model data. |
| 17:30 - 18:00 | Discussions |
| Training Session on Prediction of Monsoon Weather Extremes |
| To be coordinated by Dr. Vinu Valsala, Dr. R. Phani Murali Krishna, Dr. Malay Ganai, Dr. Revanth Reddy |
| Venue | Varahamihir Hall, IITM, Pune | |
| 0945-1030AM | Dr. Estibaliz Gascon, ECMWF | Introduction of ECMWF's Forecasting Systems and related Extreme Weather Products |
| 1030-1115AM | Dr. Estibaliz Gascon, ECMWF | Practical session on predicting extreme events using ECMWF products |
| 1115-1130 | Tea/Coffee Break | ||
| 1130-1215PM | Dr. Saulo Freitas, INPE, Brazil | Operational wildfire smoke forecast in Brazil. |
| 1215-0100PM | Dr. Fanglin Yang, NCEP, USA | NCEP Forecasting system, Model putput and diagnostic |
| 0100-0130PM | Lunch Break | ||
| 0130-0215PM | Dr. Paul Davies | On UKMO Forecast diagnostic |
| 0215-0300PM | Dr. Dev Niyogi | Making weather and climate information useful to usable using atmospheric urban digital twins |
| 0300-0345PM | Dr. Xubin Zeng | On GPEX and organized convection |
| 0345-0400PM | Q&A | ||
| 0400-0415PM | Tea/Coffee break | ||
| 0415-0500PM | Dr. Toru Terao | Asian Precipitation Experiment (AsiaPEX): Approaches and strategy |
| 0500-0545PM | Dr. W. –K Tao GSFC, NASA | Relating vertical velocity and cloud/precipitation properties: A numerical modeling study of Tropical convection Goddard Space Flight Centre, NASA, USA |
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0545-0600PM | Student/ECR Feedback End of Training session |
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Day 1
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Day 1 YouTube Streaming |
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| Registration Desk Opens at 08:30 AM | ||
| Monday 3 June 2024 | ||
| 9:15 to 10:15 | Inaugural Session | |
| 10:15 to 10:45 Keynote | Dr. Michael Höpfner, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany | Composition, origin, and fate of the Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer – a view from aircraft and satellite by infrared remote sounding |
| 10:45 to 11:15 Group Photo & Tea/Coffee break | ||
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11:15-13:00 - Session I: Atmospheric composition, chemistry, and dynamics of the
UTLS Chair: Dr. Marc von Hobe, Jülich, Germany, Co-chair: Dr. Sidharth S. Das, SPL, VSSC, India, Rapporteur: Dr. Satheesh Chandran |
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| 11:15 to 11:40 Invited | Prof. Greg Carmichael, IOWA, USA | Advancing Atmospheric Composition Predictions and Related Services to Meet the Growing Societal Needs |
| 11:40 to 12:05 Invited | Dr. Mijeong Park, NCAR, USA | Relationship between Water Vapor and Cold Point Tropopause during Boreal Summer |
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12:05 to 13:05
12 Minutes Each Oral |
Dr. Ajll Kottayil, CUSAT, Kerala, India (online) | The influence of monsoon sub-seasonal variability on the occurrence of sub-visible cirrus clouds over the Asian monsoon region. |
| Dr. Dmitry A. Belikov, Chiba University, Japan | Study the influence of the Asian Summer Monsoon on the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere Using Methane Distributions | |
| Dr. Pawan Vats, IIT Delhi, India | Implication of precursors of secondary organic aerosols on UTLS and its impact on the Indian Summer monsoon | |
| Dr. Sanjay Kumar Mehta, SRM, Chennai, India | Relative Roles of Convection and Advection in the Sustenance of the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone | |
| G. S. Gopikrishnan ,IIT, Kharagpur, India | Impact of large-scale atmospheric circulation on the ozone variability in the Upper Troposphere-Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) of the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA) | |
| 13:05 to 14:00 Lunch break | ||
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14:00-16:00 -Session II: Response of the Asian summer monsoon to volcanic eruptions,
large wildfires, anthropogenic emissions, and potential Stratospheric Aerosol Injection
(SAI) scenarios Chair: Dr. Jean-Paul Vernier, NASA, USA, Co-chair: Prof. Tarun Gupta, IIT Kanpur, India Rapporteur: Dr. Chaitri Roy |
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| 14:00 to 14:25 Invited | Dr. R. Krishnan, IITM Pune, India | Role of large volcanic eruptions on the ENSO and Indian Monsoon coupling |
| 14:25 to 14:50 Invited | Dr. Simone Tilmes, NCAR, USA | Stratospheric Aerosol Climate Intervention: Efficiency, Impacts and Uncertainties |
| 14:50 to 15:15 Invited | Dr. Bala Govindasamy, IISc, Bengaluru, India | How would stratospheric aerosol geoengineering affect tropical monsoon rainfall |
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15:15 to 16:05 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
Dr. Bernd Heinold, TROPOS Leipzig, Germany | Stratospheric Smoke Injections from the 2019–20 Australian Bushfires: Impacts on Radiation, Global Circulation, and Adjustments |
| Dr. S. Sridharan, NARL, India | Influence of Merapi volcanic eruption on the stratospheric water vapour | |
| Dr. Bomidi Lakshmi Madhavan, NARL India | Stratospheric Aerosol Characteristics during the Volcanic Eruptions using the SAGE III/ISS Observations | |
| Dr. Ghouse Basha, NARL, India | Disturbing the Middle Stratospheric Balance: The Enduring Impact of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcanic eruption | |
| 16:05 to 16:15 Break | ||
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16:15 to 17:15 Public Talk by Prof. Timothy Palmer, Oxford University on “Ensemble Weather
and Climate Prediction: From Origins to AI” (online) Chair Dr. R. Krishnan |
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| 17:15 to 19:00 Tea/Coffee and Poster session on Stratosphere-Troposphere Interactions | ||
| 19:00 onwards Workshop Dinner | ||
Day 2
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Day 2 YouTube Streaming |
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| Tuesday 4 June 2024 | ||
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9:30 to 13:00 -Session III: Observations in monsoon region with a special
focus on recent field campaigns Chair: Dr. Bernd Heinold, TROPOS, Germany, Co-chair: Dr. Padma Kumari, IITM, Pune, India Rapporteur: Dr. Bhupendra Bahadur Singh |
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| 9:30 to 9:55 Invited | Dr. M. Venkat Ratnam, NARL, India | Unravelling the Dynamics of the Indian Summer Monsoon Circulation: Insights into ASMA Variability, Aerosol Distribution, and Pollution Transport |
| 9:55 to 10:20 Invited | Dr. Ren Smith, NCAR, USA | Transport by Asian Monsoon Convection to the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere during the 2022 ACCLIP Campaign |
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10:20 to 11:00 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
Dr. Amit Kumar Pandit, NIA, USA | In situ and satellite observations of tropopause cirrus clouds during the Asian Summer Monsoon: Results from the BATAL Campaign |
| Dr. Siddarth Shankar Das, SPL, VSSC, India (online) | Network of ST/MST radars and balloon borne measurement Campaigns of the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (NetRAD-ASMA) - Initial Results | |
| Dr. Sunil Kumar S V., SPL, VSSC, India | Insights from Tropical Tropopause Dynamics Experiments under GARNETS program over the Indian monsoon region | |
| 11:00 to 11:25 Tea/Coffee break | ||
| Rapporteur: Dr. Satheesh Chandran | ||
| 11:25 to 11:45 Lead oral | Dr. Jean-Paul, Vernier, NASA, LaRC, USA | ATAL's inter-annual variability derived from satellite observations and airborne measurements |
| 11:45 to 12:05 Lead oral | Dr. Marc von Hobe, IEK-7 stratosphere, Jülich, Germany | Strategy for more ground-based observations to constrain the lower boundary condition in atmospheric models |
| 12:05 to 12:25 Lead oral | Dr. Manish Naja, ARIES, Nainital, India | Variability in the tropospheric ozone in Asian Summer Monsoon region: Ozonesonde observations (2011-2023) from ARIES, Nainital |
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12:25 to 13:00 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
V. N. Santhosh, NARL, India | Quantifying the Radiative Impact of Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer using the Balloon-borne Field Campaign Measurements |
| Nabarun Poddar, SPL, VSSC, India | Understanding the stratosphere-troposphere exchange processes through the direct measurements of vertical air motion over central Himalayan region using 206.5 MHz Stratosphere-Troposphere Radar | |
| Veenus Venugopal, Space Physics Laboratory, Vikram Sarabhai Space Centre, Thiruvananthapuram, India | A composite study on the effect of SSW and QBO on stratospheric meridional circulation: Implications on ozone and water vapor distribution | |
| 13:00 to 14:00 Lunch break | ||
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14:00 to 15:15 -Session IV: Inter-connections of Asian summer monsoon with large scale
atmospheric patterns such as Brewer-Dobson Circulation, QBO and ENSO,
SSW Chair: Dr. Manish Naja, ARIES, Nainital, India, Co-chair: Dr. B. Praphulla Chandra, SSSIHL, AP, India Rapporteur: Sunil Sonbawne |
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| 14:00 to 14:20 Lead oral | Suvarna Fadnavis, IITM, India | Association of aerosols in the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone with Indian summer monsoon rainfall |
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14:20 to 15:10 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
Dr. Kishore Kumar, SPL, VSSC, India | Does the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Modulates Monsoon Hadley Circulation? |
| Dr. Uma Das, IIIT, West Bengal, India | Tidal variability and aliasing effects from contemporaneous satellite, model, and reanalysis data in the Stratosphere | |
| Prashant Chavan, IITM, Pune, India | Impact of volcanic aerosols on the tropical stratosphere and disruption of the QBO | |
| Dr Chirag Dhara, Krea University, AP, India (online) | Impact of rapid reductions in regional aerosols on the near-future strengthening of the South Asian Monsoon | |
| 15:10 to 15:30 Break | ||
| 15:30 to 16:30 Public Talk by Dr. V Ramaswamy, GFDL NOAA, USA Chair Dr. Rolf. Müller | ||
| 16:30 to 18:30 Tea/coffee and Poster session on Stratosphere-Troposphere Interactions | ||
Day 3
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Day 3 YouTube Streaming |
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| Wednesday 5 June 2024 | ||
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9:30 to 13:00 -Session V: Modelling studies on the transport of
pollutants and feedback processes associated with the Asian summer monsoon Chair: Dr. Simone Tilmes, NCAR USA, Co-chair: Dr. Kishore Kumar, SPL VSSC, India Rapporteur: Ms. Aathira Maria Jose |
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09.30 to 09:55 Invited |
Dr. Peter Hitchcock, Cornell University, USA | Assessing stratospheric contributions to sub-seasonal prediction: the SNAPSI project |
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09:55to 10:20 Invited |
Dr. David Plummer, Environment and Climate Change Canada | The challenges and need for multi-model intercomparisons of chemistry climate models in the troposphere |
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10:20 to 11:00 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
V. K. Patel, IIT, Kharagpur, India | Changes in water vapour in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) of the global tropics: role of surface warming in recent decades and future scenarios |
| P. P. Musaid, SRM, Chennai, India | Physical and dynamical factors affecting the boundary layer tracer pathway to the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone | |
| Dr. C. Sivan, IITM, Pune, India | Estimation of target density and age of air transported from the Asian monsoon anticyclone to the Arctic | |
| 11:00 to 11:30 Tea/Coffee break | ||
| Rapporteur: Dr. Bhupendra Bahadur Singh | ||
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11:30 to 11:55 Invited |
Dr. Rolf Müller, IEK-7 stratosphere, Jülich, Germany Juelich, Germany | Reconstructing high-resolution in-situ vertical profiles measured in the sparsely monitored Asian monsoon region |
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11:55 to 12:20 Invited |
Dr. Bärbel Vogel, IEK-7 stratosphere, Jülich, Germany Juelich, Germany | Horizontal transport of Asian summer monsoon air into the northern lower stratosphere: the PHILEAS campaign 2023 |
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12:20 to 13:00 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
Dr. Shubha Singh, NCMRWF, Noida, India | Assessing Upper Tropospheric Humidity during Monsoon Depression using NCMRWF unified Model forecasts |
| Dr. Kseniia Didenko, IZMIRAN, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia(online) | Numerical modeling of QBO and ENSO phase impact on the evolvement of sudden stratospheric warming and waves processes | |
| Dr. Atul Kumar Srivastava, IITM, Delhi, India | Assessment of surface air pollutants over the Indian Summer Monsoon region: Linkage to their characteristics in the upper atmosphere | |
| 13:00 to 14:00 Lunch break | ||
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14:00 to 15:50 -Session VI: Stratosphere troposphere exchange
processes and their association with monsoon extremes Chair: Dr. Sanjay Kumar Mehata, AOML, SRM, Chennai, India, Co-chair: Dr. Somkumar Sharma, PRL, Ahmedabad, India Rapporteur: Dr. Chaitri Roy |
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14:00 to 14:25 Invited |
Prof. Seok-Woo Son, Seoul National University, South Korea | QBO-MJO connection and its implication to South Asian precipitation |
| 14:25 to 14:50 Invited | Prof. T. G. Shepherd, University of Reading, UK (online) | Causal prediction and attribution of extreme weather events |
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14:50 to 15:50 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
Dr. Maria Emmanue, MoES,Delhi, India | MJO effect on the tropopause, UTLS water vapour and cirrus over the Indian Peninsula |
| Dr. Jonathon Wright Tsinghua University (online) | Covariability of dynamics and composition in the Asian monsoon tropopause layer | |
| Dr. Saginela Ravindra Babu, National Central University, Taiwan | Extreme UTLS ozone enhancement over the southern flank of Asian summer monsoon anticyclone in August 2022 | |
| Tesna Maria CUSAT, Kerala, Inia | The Impact of the Mesoscale Convective System on the Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) Composition over the Asian Monsoon Region | |
| Dr. Prashant Singh, Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany | Water Vapor Transport to the Upper Troposphere/Lower Stratosphere via Lightning-Intense Deep Convective Systems in the Third Pole Region | |
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15:50 to 16:46-Session VII: Asian summer monsoon and its association with tropospheric
processes Chair: Dr. R. Subramanian; CSTEP, Bangalore, India, Co-chair: Dr Yogesh Tiwari, IITM Pune, India Rapporteur: Dr. Annada Padhi |
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15:50 to 16:10 Lead Oral |
Dr. M. Mujumdar, IITM, Pune, India | The evolution of monsoonal Hydro-Meteorological extremes over India in the backdrop of changing climate |
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16: 10 to 16:46 12 Minutes Each, Oral |
Dr. R. Kriplani, Ex IITM, Pune, India | Response of the Asian Summer Monsoon to Aerosol Reductions due to COVID-19 lockdown regulations |
| Dr. Abhishek Anand, IMD, Kolkata, India (online) | Role of the Himalaya-Tibetan Plateau in Moistening the Tropopause as Inferred from the Model Simulations | |
| Dr. Yuanpu Li, NCAR, USA (online) | QBO impacts Asian summer monsoon precipitation by modulating the Walker circulation | |
| 16:46 to 18:30 Tea/coffee and Poster session on Monsoon Weather Extreme | ||
Day 4
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Day 4 YouTube Streaming |
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| Thursday 6th June 2024 | ||
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9:30 to 11:15 -Session VIII: Extreme weather events and
prediction Chair: Dr. Dev Niyogi, Co-chair: Dr. Satyaban B. Ratna, Rapporteur: Dr. Medha Deshpande |
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9:30 to 10:00 Invited |
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA Federal | Design and Development of NOAA's State-of-the-Art Seasonal Forecast System (SFS) for Research and Operations |
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10:00 to 10:30 Invited |
Prof. Kerry Emanuel, MIT, USA (online) |
The Physics of the Build-up of Large Values of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) |
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10:30 to 11:00 Invited |
Dr. Estibaliz Gascon ECMWF, Bonn, Germany | ECMWF's Journey in Advancing Extreme Weather Prediction |
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11:00 to 11:20 Lead Oral |
Dr. Pankaj Kumar, IISER Bhopal | Deep-learning based downscaling approaches for precipitation extremes: an assessment over India. |
| 11:20 to 11:30 Tea/Coffee break | ||
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11:30 to 13:00 -Session IX: Extreme weather prediction Chair: Dr. A. K. Sahai, Co-chair: Dr. S. D. Pawar, Rapporteur: Dr. Radhika Kanase |
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11:30 to 12:00 Invited |
Dr. Fanglin Yang NCEP, USA | On the Development of NOAA Unified Forecast System -- Reducing Extreme Weather Forecast Biases with Improved Model Physics |
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12:00 to 12:30 Invited |
Dr. Takuya Kawabata, MRI, JMA, Japan | Forecasting Severe Local Storms with advanced DA and Ensemble - Beyond Weather Forecast |
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12:30 to 13:00 Invited |
Dr. Paul Davies, UKMO, UK | Exploring the mechanisms and interactions of extreme weather and large scale atmospheric processes using model/observations with a particular focus on the interactions between tropical and mid-latitude meteorological systems |
| 13:00 to 14:00 Lunch break | ||
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14:00 to 14:15 Oral |
Dr. Indrani Roy, University College London (UCL), UK, | East African October to December rainy season- major drivers, mechanism and improved predictability |
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14:15 to 14:30 Oral |
Mr. Vaibhav Tyagi, Indian Institute of Technology Indore | Interplay of Background Dynamics and Large-Scale Circulations in the Kerala Extreme Rainfall Event of August 2019 |
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14:30 to 14:45 Oral |
Ms. Sreevidya Ravi, CUSAT, Kochi (Online) | Dynamical Aspects of Heavy Rainfall Events Over Southern Peninsular India during Northeast Monsoon Season and its Association with Indian Ocean Warming and Madden Julian Oscillation |
| 14:45 to 15:00 Break | ||
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15:00-16:40 – Session X: New approaches for extreme weather events
prediction Chair: Dr. A. Suryachandra Rao; Co-chair: Dr. J. Sanjay Rapporteur: Ms. Rituparna Sarkar |
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15:00 to 15:30 Keynote |
Dr. D. R. Pattanaik, IMD | |
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15:30 to 16:00 Invited |
Dr. Saulo Freitas, INPE, Brazil | A Parameterization for Cloud Organization and Propagation by Evaporation-Driven Cold Pool Edges |
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16:00 to 16:20 Lead oral |
Dr. R. Ashrit NCMRWF (Online) | Extreme Daily Rain: Forecasting & Verification Challenges |
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16:20 to 16:40 Lead oral |
Dr. P. Mukhopadhyay, IITM, Pune | A convection permitting model: IITM HGFM to improve High Impact weather prediction |
| 16:40 to 19:00 Tea/Coffee break and Poster session on Monsoon Weather Extreme | ||
| 19:00 to 20:30 Cultural Program | ||
| 20:30 to 22:00 Dinner at IITM front lawn | ||
Day 5
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Day 5 YouTube Streaming |
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| Friday 7 June 2024 | ||
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9:00 to 10:45 - Session XI: Observation campaign for
understanding processes associated
with extreme precipitation events Session
Chair: Dr. Thara Prabhakaran, Co-chair: Dr. G. Pandithurai, Rapporteur: Ms. Monokranthi |
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09:00 to 09:30 Invited |
Dr. W K. Tao, GSFC, NASA (Online) | Developing, Improving, and Applying Cloud-Resolving Models to Study Precipitation Processes |
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9:30 to 10:00 Keynote |
Prof. Xubin Zeng, University of Arizona | On GPEX and organized convection |
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10:00 to 10:30 Invited |
Prof. Toru Terao, Kagawa University, Japan | Asian summer monsoon circulation and precipitation in view of high moist static energy airmass |
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10:30 to 10:45 Oral |
Mr. Harshad S. Hanmante, IITM, Pune | Rain-type classification and convective clustering in heavy rain events: Radar observations and numerical simulation |
| 10:45 to 11:15 Tea/Coffee break | ||
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11:15 to 13:00 -Sessions XII: AI/ML in Weather
prediction
Chair: Dr. E. N. Rajagopal, Co-chair: Dr. C. Gnanaseelan, Rapporteur: Dr. Siddharth Kumar |
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11:15 to 11:45 Keynote |
Prof. Dev Niyogi, University of Texas, Austin, USA | |
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11:45 to 12:15 Invited |
Dr. Pierre Gentine, Univ: of Columbia, USA (Online) | |
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12:15 to 12:30 Oral |
Ms. Aayushi Tandon, University of Petroleum & Energy Studies, Dehradun, | A Machine Learning Based Approach to Predict Extreme Rainfall Events in India's Uttarakhand Region |
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12:30 to 12:45 Oral |
Dr. Yesubabu Viswanadhapalli, NARL, ISRO | Impact of Western Ghats orography on the simulation of extreme precipitation over Kerala, India during 14–17 August 2018 |
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12:45 to 13:00 Oral |
Dr. Ayantika D. C. | Understanding the extreme precipitating monsoon rainstorms over Pakistan |
| 13:00 to 14:00 Lunch break | ||
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14:00 to 15:30 -Session XIII:
Application of Monsoon Weather Forecast for
various sectors Chair: Shri K. S. Hosalikar, Co-chair: Dr. Susmitha Joseph Rapporteur: Dr. Soumyajoti Jana |
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14:00 to 14:30 Keynote |
Prof. Vimal Mishra, IIT, Gandhinagar, India | |
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14:30 to 15:00 Invited |
Dr. Sisir K. Dash, NCCR, MoES, Chennai, India | |
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15:00 to 15:30 Invited |
Mr. V.K. Kodali, WRLDC, Mumbai | |
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15:30 to 16:30 -Session XIV:
Stakeholders’ Discussion on
Renewable Energy & Weather
Forecasts Chair: Prof. Vimal Mishra, Co-chair: Dr. P. Mukhopadhyay, Rapporteur: Ms. Snehlata Tirkey Panelists: SDMA, Assam on Flood; Adani Green, Ahmedabad; WRLDC (Grid India); Renew Power, Delhi; Suzlon, Pune; NERLDC, Guwahati |
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| 16:30 to 17:00 Tea/Coffee break | ||
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17:00 to 18:00 –Session XV: Panel discussion,
recommendation and
concluding remarks Panelists: Coordinator: Dr. Vinu Valsala |
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